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2026 GS Paper IV

UPSC CSE (Main) 2026 · GS Paper IV · Question 12

(a) अजीत के पास उपलब्ध विकल्पों पर विचार करते हुए यह बताइए कि उसे कौन-सा विकल्प और क्यों चुनना चाहिए। (b)…

UPSC Civil Services (Main) Examination 2026, General Studies Paper IV (GS 4), Question 12 of Section B — 20 marks, 250 words.

Syllabus line: Case studies — “Case Studies on above issues.”

GS Paper IV 2026 · Q12 (Section B)

20 marks · 250 words Case studies X-Ray · Core #11

हाल ही में अजीत की पदोन्नति रक्षा उत्पादन मंत्रालय (एम॰ डी॰ पी॰) के अंतर्गत हथियार बिक्री विभाग (डी॰ डब्ल्यू॰ एस॰) के प्रमुख के रूप में हुई है। उसका प्रमुख दायित्व है—अंतर्राष्ट्रीय स्तर पर उन हथियारों का विक्रय, जिन्हें अपने देश में एम॰ डी॰ पी॰ तैयार करता है।

पिछले दो युद्धों में एम॰ डी॰ पी॰ के हथियारों का प्रदर्शन बहुत अच्छा रहा, जिसके कारण कई देशों ने उन्हें खरीदने में रुचि दिखाई है—मुख्यतः लम्बी दूरी की मार करने वाले तोप और प्रक्षेपास्त्र। देश A और देश B ने इन हथियारों के लिए कहा है। आयुधों का उत्पादन सीमित होने के कारण, डी॰ डब्ल्यू॰ एस॰ इनमें से किसी एक देश को ही ये हथियार बेच सकता है।

देश A विकासशील देश है और उसके पास एक अच्छा प्रौद्योगिक आधार है। एम॰ डी॰ पी॰ अगली पीढ़ी के आयुधों के निमित्त इस देश के साथ मिलकर अनुसंधान एवं विकास के लिए काम करने की योजना बना रहा है। देश A किसी सुरक्षा गठबंधन का हिस्सा नहीं है, उसे एक उपद्रवी पड़ोसी देश से सुरक्षा के लिए हथियारों की आवश्यकता है। वह दीर्घ अवधि के कर्ज़ पर अधिक मात्रा में हथियार खरीदना चाहता है।

देश B भी एक विकासशील देश है। सैन्य शक्ति उसकी प्राथमिकता है, और सैन्य बजट प्रायः मानव संसाधन तथा अवसंरचना विकास के लिए आबंटनों में भी हस्तक्षेप कर जाता है। वह एक महाशक्ति के साथ सुरक्षा गठबंधन में है जिसकी वहाँ एक बड़ी सैन्य छावनी है और जो उसे समय-समय पर वित्तीय अनुदान प्रदान करती है। वह एक आर्थिक गुट का सदस्य है, जिसके साथ उसकी सरकार वर्तमान में एक मुक्त व्यापारिक समझौते पर बात कर रही है। वह परमाणु अप्रसार संधि (एन॰ पी॰ टी॰) का हस्ताक्षरकर्ता नहीं है, किन्तु उसके पास लघु परमाणु हथियार तथा उसके प्रक्षेपण तंत्र उपलब्ध हैं। वह विदेशों में कुछ गुरिल्ला बलों को समर्थन प्रदान करता है। उसने अपेक्षाकृत छोटे स्तर के अधिग्रहण की इच्छा व्यक्त की है और अग्रिम भुगतान का कुछ भाग देने के लिए तैयार है। फिलहाल वह एक दूसरे देश से भी हथियार खरीदने की बात कर रहा है।

सम्बद्ध विभागों के समकक्षों से अजीत ने इस विषय पर चर्चा की। उसमें इस बिक्री से होने वाले महत्त्वपूर्ण आर्थिक लाभों, रोज़गार सृजन तथा अधिक सुदृढ़ राजनयिक संबंधों को रेखांकित किया गया था। यह भी बल देकर कहा गया था कि यदि इस सौदे को अस्वीकार कर दिया गया, तो देश B किसी अन्य आपूर्तिकर्ता से हथियार खरीद सकता है।

अजीत इस बात से अवगत था कि हथियारों की बिक्री में हर स्तर पर समुचित सतर्कता बरतना राष्ट्रीय नीति एवं अंतर्राष्ट्रीय संधियों की अनुरूपता सुनिश्चित करने के लिए बहुत आवश्यक है।

(a) अजीत के पास उपलब्ध विकल्पों पर विचार करते हुए यह बताइए कि उसे कौन-सा विकल्प और क्यों चुनना चाहिए। (b) अजीत किस प्रकार राष्ट्र के आर्थिक और रणनीतिक हितों को नैतिक विचारों से संतुलित करेगा?

Read this question in English

Ajit has been recently promoted as the Head of the Department of Weapon Sales (DWS) in the Ministry of Defence Production (MDP). His charter of duties includes international sales of weapons produced domestically by MDP.

In two recent wars, MDP weapons have performed admirably, resulting in many countries showing interest in buying them, particularly long-range artillery and missiles. Country A and country B have asked for these weapons. However, production constraints restrict DWS to accept only one purchase order.

Country A is a developing nation with a sound technology base. MDP is planning R&D collaboration with it for the next generation of weapons. It is not part of any security alliance and needs weapons for protection from a troublesome neighbour. It seeks a large acquisition on a long-term loan.

Country B is also a developing nation. Military strength is its priority, with the military budget often ingressing into allocations for human resources and infrastructure development. It is in security alliance with a superpower who has a large military base there and periodically allots it financial grants. It is a member of an economic bloc with which the government is currently negotiating a free trade agreement. It is not a signatory of NPT but possesses smaller nuclear weapons and delivery systems. It supports some guerrilla forces abroad. It has sought a smaller acquisition and is prepared to make some advance payment. It is currently negotiating arms purchases from another nation too.

Ajit discussed this case with his counterparts in the related departments. Therein, the significant economic benefits, employment generation and stronger diplomatic relations arising from this sale were highlighted. It was also emphasized that refusing the deal could result in country B purchasing weapons from some other supplier.

Ajit was aware that in arms sales, due diligence at each stage was pivotal to ensure conformity to national policy and international treaties.

(a) Discuss the options available to Ajit. Which option should he select and why? (b) How can Ajit balance nation’s economic and strategic interests with ethical considerations?

🧭 How to think about this question · directive: “discuss / which / how”

Decode the demand

  • Three directives: 'discuss the options' (lay out every real choice with merits and demerits), 'which option and why' (one clear pick with reasons), 'how can he balance' (a method, not a slogan).
  • The case in one line: one production slot, two buyers; A is a safe, patient partner, B pays fast but carries proliferation, misuse and welfare risks.
  • The trap: writing B off as 'evil' or A as 'perfect'. The examiner wants due diligence: legal regimes India has joined, the risk test, the safeguards that make even the right choice safer.
  • Your seat: Ajit is a department head, not a minister; he recommends through a lawful process and records reasons.

Think in a structure

  • Open with the clash of national interest and global responsibility, anchored in one verified export figure.
  • Stakeholders as a hub, options as a table, then 5–6 one-line reasons for choosing A, each carrying an ethical keyword and a rule or thinker.
  • For (b), give a method: Weber's two ethics, the ATT overriding-risk test, Article 51(c), separating trade from arms, transparency on file.
  • End in the administrator's seat with a flowchart of the process and measures, then a conclusion anchored in the Constitution.
Facts checked at source (8)· open

Question: UPSC's CS (Main) 2026, GS Paper IV — paper ↗. Guidance: Minimalist IAS, checked 8 Nov 2026 (how we verify). ·

Model answer· 592words · Minimalist IAS

Arms sales sit where national interest meets global responsibility: jobs, revenue and diplomacy pull toward the quicker buyer, while due diligence asks where the weapons will finally be used. With India's defence exports at a record ₹38,424 crore in 2025-26, reaching more than 80 countries, Ajit's choice sets a precedent for every future sale.

MDP workers andindustryPeoples of A and BB's targets abroadExport-controlpartners (MTCR)India's future R&DcapabilityAjit's decision

Ajit's decision: MDP workers and industry; Peoples of A and B; B's targets abroad; Export-control partners (MTCR); India's future R&D capability

(a) Options available to Ajit

OptionMeritsDemerits
Sell to ALegitimate defence need; R&D partner; non-aligned, low diversion riskLong-term loan; delayed returns
Sell to BAdvance payment; FTA goodwill; superpower's allyProliferation, guerrilla links, welfare cost to its people
Defer or refuse bothAvoids all riskLoses partner, idles capacity, hands market to rivals
  • Fourth path, phased supply: accept A's order now and offer B a later, smaller tranche of non-missile systems after fresh due diligence.

(a) Which option and why: A, with safeguards

  • Legality first: the MTCR, which India joined in 2016, carries a strong presumption to deny missile transfers where delivery of weapons of mass destruction is judged likely; B holds both.
    • India itself refused the NPT as discriminatory, so B's non-signature alone is no bar; the risk lies in delivery systems and diversion.
  • Non-complicity: B supports guerrilla forces abroad; long-range artillery could harm third-country civilians, a foreseeable consequence Ajit would own.
  • Proportionality of need: A seeks protection from a troublesome neighbour, a just self-defence purpose; B prioritises arms over its people's welfare.
  • Durable national interest: A's technology base and planned R&D collaboration build next-generation capability; B is already shopping elsewhere.
  • Safeguards: end-user certificate barring re-transfer, milestone-linked loan disbursal and deliveries, post-delivery verification under the WMD Act, 2005 and SCOMET list.
  • Kantian test: using B's deprived citizens and B's targets as means to an export target cannot be universalised; A's purchase respects both peoples as ends.

(b) Balancing economic and strategic interests with ethics

  • Conviction with responsibility: Max Weber held the two ethics complementary; Ajit keeps the non-proliferation principle yet answers for jobs and revenue by choosing A, not by refusing all sales.
  • Overriding-risk test: the Arms Trade Treaty, Article 7, bars export where risk remains after mitigation; adopting it voluntarily gives Ajit an objective rule, not a mood.
  • Constitutional morality: Article 51(c) asks the State to foster respect for international law; a sale straining MTCR would dent India's credibility as a responsible power.
  • Separate the tracks: the free trade agreement with B's bloc can proceed on its own merits; arms are not the only lever of diplomacy.
  • 'Others will sell' is no licence: accountability attaches to Ajit's own act; Gandhi's talisman asks whether the weakest, B's targets and its poor, gain from this deal.
  • Transparency on file: record the risk assessment and reasons so the decision survives audit and political pressure.

What I would do as Head of DWS

Risk assessment of both buyersInter-ministerial committee (MEA, MoD, DRDO)Select A, inform B with reasonsEnd-user certificate, milestone contractPost-shipment verificationAnnual buyer review
  1. Risk assessment of both buyers
  2. Inter-ministerial committee (MEA, MoD, DRDO)
  3. Select A, inform B with reasons
  4. End-user certificate, milestone contract
  5. Post-shipment verification
  6. Annual buyer review
  • Institutionalise criteria: published arms-export guidelines mirroring MTCR and ATT tests, so future officers decide by rule.
  • Expand capacity: raise production so demand need not be rationed under urgency.
  • Keep B engaged: training, spares or defensive systems after verified change in conduct.
  • Integrity culture: the Nolan principles of objectivity and accountability written into DWS procedures.

Responsible exports that are lawful, end-use verified and strategically patient turn Article 51's vision into practice: India grows as an arms producer without becoming a merchant of harm, and prosperity and principle advance together.

Prepared by Minimalist IAS to the answer standard of Shivam Singh (mentor, 7 years) · facts checked against official sources (how we verify) · updated 8 Nov 2026. UPSC publishes no model answers: compare your structure and coverage with this, then write your own.

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